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Ballarat Race 8 - Southern Sheetmetal

ELEVENTH SCOTCH (6) was well backed last start but ran below expectations when fourth (22.87), beaten 6 lengths. Has ability and looks hard to stop. ASTON MONSOON (5) turned in a plain performance last time when fifth at Geelong over 460m behind Doongalla Gem (26.33) in a Rank Limit - Grade 5. Comes through a solid form race last start. Has ability and a bold showing is expected. REBEL THINKER (1) had been in super honest form hitting the frame two times on end before finishing seventh (27.97) at Horsham last time. The form out of the last run is proven to be strong. Can measure up this time. PAW LAMPADES (7) should be thereabouts.

Race Time:9:03 AM

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:Showers

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:450m

Rebel Thinker (1)6443444237

Trainer: Ian Robinson (Avoca)12 mths 74: 6-8-12

3 yo Black Dog

Sire: MY BRO FABIO (AUS)

Dam: BIG SKINNY (AUS)

Stats

Career74: 6-8-12

Win %8.11%

Place %35.14%

Prize Money$14,115.00

Comments

Latest effort finished last on June 30 over 485m at Horsham behind Miner Mick beaten 10 lengths (27.97) in a Grade 4/5. Tipped to improve sharply. Rates highly on best form.

Last Starts 10 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/7	30/06/2026	4	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	Horsham	485m	0:27.97	0:27.22	0:27.22	N/A	7	1. Miner Mick 2. Crackerjack Hops 3. Deep Thinker	10.7L	$91.00
3/8	26/06/2026	7	GR 5 FIN	$6,030.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.78	0:23.42	0:23.07	N/A	7	1. Shallow Sally 2. Sorry I'm Late 3. Rebel Thinker	5.1L	$51.00
2/6	19/06/2026	17	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.83	0:23.73	0:23.21	N/A	5	1. Sorry I'm Late 2. Rebel Thinker 3. Black Statesman	1.5L	$16.00
4/7	02/06/2026	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.76	0:23.40	0:23.12	N/A	4	1. So You Assume 2. Heathcote Rupee 3. Silent Knight	5.5L	$61.00
4/7	26/05/2026	7	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	Horsham	485m	0:27.57	0:27.22	0:27.22	N/A	1	1. Highly Connected 2. Paw Xantippe 3. Aston Hercules	5.0L	$67.00
4/7	19/05/2026	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.69	0:23.63	0:23.20	N/A	3	1. Belair Blue 2. Zipping Tyra 3. Orson Fury	1.0L	$18.00

Invictus Blue (2)6534354164

Trainer: Gordon Edwards (Cranbourne West)12 mths 65: 8-2-16

3 yo BLU Dog

Sire: BEAST UNLEASHED (AUS)

Dam: INVICTUS SYBIL (AUS)

Stats

Career65: 8-2-16

Win %12.31%

Place %40.00%

Prize Money$33,875.00

Comments

Missed the frame latest (28.63) when fourth over 500m at Bendigo in a Grade 5. Has three successes and three minors from eight starts from box 2. Looks a place chance at best.

Last Starts 7 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/8	03/07/2026	8	GR 5	$3,340.00	Bendigo	500m	0:28.63	0:28.31	0:28.31	N/A	1	1. Weaponry 2. Bengal Beast 3. Aston Gozo	4.6L	$27.00
6/7	25/06/2026	7	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warragul	400m	0:23.48	0:23.04	0:22.81	N/A	7	1. Joan's Gem 2. Tilly Girl 3. Bub Who	6.3L	$4.50
1/7	18/06/2026	7	GR 5	$1,530.00	Warragul	460m	0:26.22	0:26.22	0:26.22	N/A	4	1. Invictus Blue 2. Young Rufus 3. Kenzie Kid	0.3L	$14.00
4/7	11/06/2026	6	GR 5	$1,530.00	Warragul	400m	0:23.36	0:23.17	0:22.81	N/A	6	1. Proud Mary 2. Mt. View Rupee 3. Joan's Gem	2.8L	$2.50
5/8	05/06/2026	6	GR 5	$1,530.00	Healesville	350m	0:19.93	0:19.69	0:19.52	N/A	4	1. Fred The Fox 2. Red Hot Pretty 3. Cathy's Dream	3.5L	$10.00
3/7	30/05/2026	7	GR 5	$1,530.00	Ballarat	450m	0:26.19	0:25.98	0:25.44	N/A	7	1. Unleashing 2. Neena Bale 3. Invictus Blue	3.0L	$4.20

Ringer's Girl (3)1541487143

Trainer: Peter Franklin (Mortlake)12 mths 71: 12-6-10

3 yo BDL Bitch

Sire: ASTON RUPEE (AUS)

Dam: TWO PHONES (AUS)

Stats

Career71: 12-6-10

Win %16.90%

Place %39.44%

Prize Money$18,000.00

Comments

Finished third at big odds last time (22.50) over 390m at Warrnambool. Has a low draw. Solid top-three prospects.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	06/07/2026	9	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:22.50	0:22.34	0:22.14	N/A	8	1. Henriksen 2. Seats Two 3. Ringer's Girl	2.5L	$27.00
4/7	27/06/2026	9	GR 5	$1,530.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.71	0:22.37	0:22.23	N/A	7	1. Busting 2. Living The Dream 3. Clyde Bale	5.0L	$41.00
1/6	18/06/2026	17	Other	$1,070.00	Mount Gambier	305m	0:17.80	0:17.80	0:17.37	N/A	1	1. Ringer's Girl 2. Henry Bale 3. Dame Truculent	2.0L	$1.40
7/8	01/06/2026	14	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:23.24	0:22.26	0:22.26	N/A	3	1. Paw Harkonnen 2. Mana's Way 3. Aston Excess	14.0L	$7.00
8/8	18/05/2026	7	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:26.20	0:25.39	0:25.37	N/A	2	1. Hudson Hawk 2. Napier Bale 3. Paw Linden	11.8L	$19.00
4/8	11/05/2026	7	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.94	0:25.38	0:25.38	N/A	1	1. Moraine Bluey 2. Ultra Pub Run 3. Goosebumps Rico	8.3L	$6.00

Lemon Pepper (4)8432x53624

Trainer: Peter Franklin (Mortlake)12 mths 36: 4-8-7

2 yo BDL Dog

Sire: GOOD ODDS HARADA (AUS)

Dam: SHIM'S HEART (AUS)

Stats

Career36: 4-8-7

Win %11.11%

Place %52.78%

Prize Money$8,530.00

Comments

Was out of the placings last time but the start prior finished in the minors when second (17.75) over 305m at Mt Gambier. Has a squeeze box to navigate but is worth plenty of thought.

Last Starts 3 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/5	07/07/2026	19	GR 5	$1,530.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.91	0:23.66	0:22.91	N/A	7	1. Paw Lassie 2. Where's The Gold 3. Vinny Dewalt	3.8L	$4.80
2/5	18/06/2026	11	TG1-4W	$1,010.00	Mount Gambier	305m	0:17.75	0:17.65	0:17.37	N/A	8	1. Lady Tsunade 2. Lemon Pepper 3. Jimmy The Rat	1.5L	$6.50
6/6	07/06/2026	7	GR 6	$1,520.00	Mount Gambier	400m	0:23.67	0:23.29	0:22.74	N/A	5	1. My Mate Robbie 2. Tested 3. Canya Feel It	5.3L	$5.00
3/6	31/05/2026	10	GR 6	$1,520.00	Mount Gambier	305m	0:17.92	0:17.76	0:17.70	N/A	8	1. Dimora Bernie 2. Held For Ransom 3. Lemon Pepper	2.3L	$8.50
5/8	21/05/2026	74	GR 5	$2,930.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:22.56	0:21.99	0:21.74	N/A	7	1. Patriot Cilla 2. Western's Nasiah 3. Paw Inflame	8.2L	$61.00
2/6	08/03/2026	7	GR 6	$1,520.00	Mount Gambier	400m	0:23.35	0:23.14	0:22.87	N/A	7	1. Trading Halt 2. Lemon Pepper 3. Compton Bowie	3.0L	$3.40

Aston Monsoon (5)7435462565

Trainer: Cody Hose (Lara)12 mths 51: 7-6-9

3 yo Black Dog

Sire: HARD STYLE RICO (AUS)

Dam: ASTON STORM (AUS)

Stats

Career51: 7-6-9

Win %13.73%

Place %43.14%

Prize Money$12,145.00

Comments

Last start finished 5th on June 30 over 460m at Geelong behind Doongalla Gem beaten 8 lengths (26.33) in a Rank Limit - Grade 5. Solid formlines coming through that last run. Looks a major player.

Last Starts 10 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/8	30/06/2026	6	Rank Limit - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.33	0:25.72	0:25.72	N/A	6	1. Doongalla Gem 2. Paw Christie 3. Dad's Surprise	8.8L	$31.00
6/7	24/06/2026	12	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.64	0:22.01	0:21.84	N/A	7	1. Eat Your Spinach 2. Tornado Tessa 3. Paw Xyla	8.9L	$11.00
5/8	12/06/2026	7	Group Listed	$22,900.00	Bendigo	500m	0:28.45	0:27.66	0:27.56	N/A	5	1. Flaming Smooth 2. Deep Thinker 3. Insinuating	11.3L	$81.00
2/6	05/06/2026	5	GR 5 H NP	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.14	0:26.14	0:25.28	N/A	2	1. Bronze 2. Aston Monsoon 3. Kokeri	0.3L	$8.50
6/8	31/05/2026	11	GR 5	$2,930.00	Healesville	350m	0:19.65	0:19.44	0:18.83	N/A	3	1. Sonia's Beauty 2. Pop's Boy 3. Justified Jim	3.0L	$41.00
4/7	20/05/2026	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.48	0:22.18	0:21.74	N/A	4	1. Paw Manny 2. Gas Lantern 3. Sketchy Demos	4.2L	$15.00

Eleventh Scotch (6)5418823424

Trainer: Paul Mathieson (Myrniong)12 mths 23: 3-3-4

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: HOOKED ON SCOTCH (AUS)

Dam: ELEVEN ELEVEN (AUS)

Stats

Career23: 3-3-4

Win %13.04%

Place %43.48%

Prize Money$7,305.00

Comments

Found some support last start but struggled and finished 4th in a Rank Limit - Restricted Win on July 6 over 390m at this track behind Blame Margaret beaten 6 lengths (22.87). Placed two back at Bendigo. Should be right in the finish.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/6	06/07/2026	12	Rank Limit - Restricted Win	$1,530.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.87	0:22.48	0:00.00	N/A	3	1. Blame Margaret 2. Matilda Flame 3. Big Weekend	5.8L	$2.50
2/8	24/06/2026	7	Rank Limit - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.39	0:24.27	0:23.91	N/A	7	1. Canya Ignite 2. Eleventh Scotch 3. Collinda Pops	1.7L	$4.20
4/8	17/06/2026	9	GR 5	$1,530.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.33	0:24.08	0:23.94	N/A	6	1. Dance Lady Dance 2. Rock Eternal 3. Sweet Millie	3.8L	$16.00
3/7	08/06/2026	5	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:22.68	0:22.55	0:22.01	N/A	7	1. Cruising Nat 2. Paw Olyslagers 3. Eleventh Scotch	2.0L	$3.80
2/8	03/06/2026	2	GR 5 H NP	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.66	0:22.53	0:21.95	N/A	7	1. Leap Of Faith 2. Eleventh Scotch 3. Aston Francesca	2.0L	$9.00
8/8	01/06/2026	10	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:23.19	0:22.58	0:22.26	N/A	1	1. Napier Bale 2. Moraine Miley 3. Seats Two	8.8L	$2.70

Paw Lampades (7)3526864257

Trainer: Andrea Gurry (Nhill)12 mths 37: 7-4-6

2 yo LT BDL Dog

Sire: YOZO BALE (AUS)

Dam: IDRIA BALE (AUS)

Stats

Career37: 7-4-6

Win %18.92%

Place %45.95%

Prize Money$15,860.00

Comments

Missed the frame latest (26.23) when seventh over 450m at this track in a Grade 5. Has three placings from six starts from the draw. Looks one of the chances.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/7	06/07/2026	6	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	450m	0:26.23	0:25.70	0:25.19	N/A	4	1. Go Pikachu 2. Tickets 3. Dance Lady Dance	7.8L	$3.40
5/7	30/06/2026	7	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	Horsham	485m	0:27.86	0:27.22	0:27.22	N/A	3	1. Miner Mick 2. Crackerjack Hops 3. Deep Thinker	9.0L	$34.00
2/8	23/06/2026	6	GR 5	$1,530.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.13	0:25.74	0:25.74	N/A	8	1. Regal Spencer 2. Paw Lampades 3. No Stop Signs	5.8L	$10.00
4/8	17/06/2026	8	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.81	0:25.48	0:24.99	N/A	1	1. Quest For Storm 2. She's Saintly 3. Quick Aussie	4.8L	$6.50
6/8	09/06/2026	7	GR 5	$3,340.00	Horsham	485m	0:28.23	0:27.81	0:27.25	N/A	7	1. So You Assume 2. Gumtree Hill 3. Franky's Outlaw	5.9L	$46.00
8/8	02/06/2026	7	FFA	$3,360.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.92	0:23.26	0:23.12	N/A	4	1. Paw Quebec 2. Lauriston Girl 3. Vincent Bale	9.5L	$35.00

Everglow (8)5553213274

Trainer: Wendy Hansen (Daisy Hill)12 mths 17: 3-4-2

2 yo BDL Bitch

Sire: FERAL FRANKY (AUS)

Dam: STATICE (AUS)

Stats

Career17: 3-4-2

Win %17.65%

Place %52.94%

Prize Money$5,295.00

Comments

Was sent out long odds last time but charged out of the boxes with a fast early sectional and gave a sight before being swallowed up late, finishing a 3.5 lengths fourth (25.93) over 450m at this track. Not among the main chances this time.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/7	06/07/2026	17	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.93	0:25.70	0:25.19	N/A	6	1. Go Pikachu 2. Tickets 3. Dance Lady Dance	3.5L	$12.00
7/8	19/06/2026	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.68	0:23.89	0:23.45	N/A	8	1. Dad's Surprise 2. Heard Your Words 3. Don't Tell Shell	11.3L	$12.00
2/8	12/06/2026	36	GR 5	$2,930.00	Geelong	400m	0:22.91	0:22.57	0:22.36	N/A	7	1. Heard Your Words 2. Everglow 3. Xisan Bale	5.0L	$19.00
3/5	07/05/2026	8	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.49	0:22.22	0:21.99	N/A	2	1. Aston Warrior 2. Spring Quiz 3. Everglow	4.0L	$6.00
1/7	29/04/2026	7	T3 RSTW	$1,530.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.14	0:24.14	0:24.14	N/A	4	1. Everglow 2. Thought Of That 3. Ivory Ramen	4.0L	$2.40
2/8	22/04/2026	4	T3 RSTW	$1,530.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.40	0:24.13	0:24.00	N/A	3	1. Compare Joe 2. Everglow 3. Smooth Beauty	4.0L	$5.50