Churchill Downs Race 10 - Race 10 - Mdn Special Weight
FROZENKNIFE (10) First time at the races 2yo by Cyberknife for trainer Brad H Cox. Betting as a guide. MR. POPOVER (7) Tapit 2yo on debut for Kelsey Danner. Watch the market moves. FERROUS (9) Just shy of the win last run at Keeneland and putting a tidy record together. In good condition since resuming from a break. No shock to see a win. HICKORY (3) Fresh today after a break. Edged past some when finishing 5th last run at Ellis Park. Should be swooping on the field late. Up to these.
Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
First up today. Started $14.00 and chased well when 4th last time at Ellis Park and having second career run. Facing an increased distance. Drawn beautifully. Most likely not today.
Last Starts 102 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/9 | 26/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | FT | Cristian A Torres | 54kg | - | 7-8-6 | 7 |
| 6.8L | $0.00 |
Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Jumped at $11.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last run here but will try to take advantage of the draw. Will be positive in the run early. Watch for a sign in the market.
Last Starts 40 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/8 | 26/09/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 86 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1509m | FT | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | - | 4-4-5 | 2 |
| 21.5L | $0.00 |
| 2/9 | 08/08/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 79 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | FT | Francisco Arrieta | 54kg | - | 3-3-2 | 3 |
| 3.3L | $0.00 |
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Back from a break. Started $5.50 and kept chasing when 5th last run at Ellis Park. Expected to be flashing home. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Last Starts 74 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12 | 23/08/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 84 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FT | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | - | 7-10-9-7 | 6 |
| 9L | $0.00 |
| 5/9 | 17/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 81 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1308m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | - | 8-9-7 | 1 |
| 7.8L | $0.00 |
Jockey: James Graham
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Was $7.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last run around here. Will be hitting the line strongly. Watch betting.
Last Starts 11 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12 | 25/10/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 90 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FT | James Graham | 54kg | - | 10-11-10-10 | 11 |
| 29.2L | $0.00 |
| 2/9 | 19/09/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 86 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | FT | James Graham | 54kg | - | 8-8-4 | 1 |
| 1.3L | $0.00 |
Jockey: Keith J. Asmussen
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Odds of $8.50 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Keeneland. Not at all out of this race.
Last Starts 25 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/8 | 11/10/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1308m | SY | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | - | 6-5-4 | 6 |
| 6.3L | $0.00 |
| 6/12 | 30/08/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Kentucky Downs | 1308m | FM | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | - | 4-4-4 | 1 |
| 5.4L | $0.00 |
| 7/9 | 26/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | FT | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | - | 2-2-4 | 5 |
| 10.6L | $0.00 |
Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Initial appearance 2yo by Tapit for trainer Kelsey Danner. Keep your eye on the market.
Jockey: Abel Cedillo
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Started at $43.00 and ran 8th last time at this venue. Others are better.
Last Starts 54 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12 | 12/09/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 86 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FT | Abel Cedillo | 54kg | - | 12-12-12-10 | 3 |
| 28.6L | $0.00 |
| 5/9 | 08/08/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 79 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | FT | Abel Cedillo | 54kg | - | 1-2-4 | 1 |
| 7.8L | $0.00 |
Jockey: Cristian A. Torres
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Missed by a narrow margin last run at Keeneland and showing consistent performance in races. Producing consistent results this campaign. Rates as one of the key chances.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/12 | 09/10/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 82 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Cristian A Torres | 54kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 6 |
| 0.3L | $0.00 |
| 4/12 | 30/08/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Kentucky Downs | 1308m | FM | Cristian A Torres | 54kg | - | 6-6-3 | 10 |
| 2.4L | $0.00 |
| 3/9 | 19/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 78 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | GD | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | - | 7-7-3-2 | 9 |
| 0.8L | $0.00 |
| 3/6 | 17/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 65 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1609m | SY | Jr Marcelino Pedroza | 54kg | - | 6-3-3-3 | 4 |
| 16.3L | $0.00 |
Jockey: Mario Gutierrez
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Debutant 2yo by Cyberknife for Brad H Cox. Watch the market.