Churchill Downs Race 4 - Race 4 - Allowance
THE GRUMPY RABBIT (1) Fresh from a 53 week break. Showed strength on the speed initially before fading at the end 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at this venue. Can go on with it. MIGHTY NORA (2) Was eating up the ground late when winning last start here and drawn nicely. Facing a stronger group of contenders. A win wouldn't surprise. FIRE MOON (5) First run back from a break. Below standard effort when 6th last run at Saratoga and up against tougher opponents. Should jump out and bowl along. Can win. LADY LAW (3) Weakened to finish 4th last run here. Has the ability to turn things around but up against a more competitive field. Can go through the gears. Keep in mind.

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First up from a break of 53 weeks. Outgunned at the finish when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time here and putting a tidy record together so far. Seriously worth strong consideration.
Last Starts 376 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/6 | 26/10/2025 | - | Stakes 89 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Jose L Ortiz | 55.5kg | - | 1-1-1-2 | 4 |
| 2.3L | $3.10 |
| 3/6 | 03/10/2025 | - | Stakes 96 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FT | Flavien Prat | 55.5kg | - | 4-4-3-3 | 4 |
| 5.5L | $11.00 |
| 1/7 | 24/08/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 75 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FT | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 54kg | - | 2-2-2-1 | 4 |
| 6L | $2.25 |
| 3/8 | 05/07/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 77 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Kendrick Carmouche | 54kg | - | 7-7-7-6 | 6 |
| 1.3L | $11.00 |

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Finished well when winning last start here and has a good draw. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Good chance of taking this out.
Last Starts 49 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 18/09/2026 | - | Starter Allowance 88 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | FT | Cristian A Torres | 53.5kg | - | 4-3-1 | 7 |
| 0.5L | $0.00 |
| 1/11 | 20/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 79 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1509m | FT | Cristian A Torres | 53.5kg | - | 5-3-1 | 11 |
| 1.3L | $0.00 |
| 4/8 | 03/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 83 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Mario Gutierrez | 53.5kg | - | 3-2-4 | 7 |
| 7L | $0.00 |
| 9/11 | 07/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 79 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Jose L Ortiz | 53.5kg | - | 7-6-7 | 7 |
| 12.6L | $0.00 |
| 2/8 | 17/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 82 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1408m | FT | Jose L Ortiz | 54.5kg | - | 6-6-2 | 1 |
| 9L | $0.00 |
| 3/10 | 14/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 84 | $0.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | FT | Emmanuel Esquivel | 55.5kg | - | 4-3-2 | 9 |
| 2L | $3.50 |
| 2/8 | 19/02/2026 | - | MDN Optional Claiming 70 | $0.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | FT | Keith J Asmussen | 55.5kg | - | 7-6-4 | 8 |
| 2.5L | $3.20 |
| 6/7 | 08/11/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 81 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | - | 5-7-7 | 7 |
| - | $4.00 |
| 2/11 | 10/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1308m | FT | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | - | 3-6-2 | 4 |
| 4.5L | $11.00 |
| 3/10 | 17/09/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 81 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | - | 3-4-4 | 3 |
| 3.3L | $17.00 |

Jockey: Luan Machado
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Started $5.00 and folded up in the straight when 4th last run at this venue. Has the ability to turn things around but stepping up to a higher level. Watch the betting.
Last Starts 41 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/6 | 26/09/2026 | - | Allowance 84 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Luan Machado | 54.5kg | - | 3-3-3-4 | 1 |
| 7.8L | $0.00 |
| 1/7 | 16/08/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 83 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FT | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | - | 6-5-3-3 | 5 |
| 0.1L | $0.00 |
| 2/9 | 10/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 82 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FT | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | - | 4-8-6-4 | 2 |
| 0.1L | $0.00 |
| 6/9 | 29/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 84 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | - | 7-8-8-6 | 7 |
| 13.3L | $0.00 |
| 3/7 | 14/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | - | 5-5-5-4 | 5 |
| 1.1L | $3.10 |
| 2/8 | 17/02/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 82 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | - | 3-2-3-2 | 1 |
| 3.5L | $13.00 |
| 2/8 | 22/01/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 78 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | - | 6-7-7-3 | 4 |
| 1.8L | $8.50 |
| 2/7 | 27/12/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 78 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | - | 6-6-5-3 | 4 |
| 4.5L | $16.00 |
| 6/11 | 13/11/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FIRM | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | - | 10-10-9 | 7 |
| 9.25L | $34.00 |
| 8/9 | 17/08/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 76 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FT | Edgar Morales | 54kg | - | 5-6-8 | 9 |
| 12L | $11.00 |

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
At $43.00 didn't attack the line when 5th last time at this track but has been racing in stronger company. Coming to a new trainer and promising career start. Would rather look at others.
Last Starts 48 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/5 | 19/09/2026 | - | Stakes 99 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | FT | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | - | 3-3-4 | 2 |
| 9L | $0.00 |
| 3/6 | 06/09/2026 | - | Allowance 86 | $0.00 | Colonial Downs | 1609m | FT | Orlando Bocachica | 53.5kg | - | 4-4-5-3 | 3 |
| 9.5L | $0.00 |
| 1/9 | 23/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 70 | $0.00 | Colonial Downs | 1408m | FT | Orlando Bocachica | 54kg | - | 4-2-1 | 9 |
| 0.3L | $0.00 |
| 2/6 | 28/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 77 | $0.00 | Colonial Downs | 1207m | MY | Victor R Carrasco | 54kg | - | 2-2-2 | 6 |
| 4.8L | $0.00 |
| 2/11 | 10/12/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 75 | $0.00 | Turfway Park | 1207m | FT | Oscar Villarreal | 54kg | - | 11-10-7 | 4 |
| 3.5L | $15.00 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Back after a spell. Odds of $5.00 and disappointing outing when 6th last run at Saratoga and up against a higher level of opposition. Nice chance at a very tempting price.
Last Starts 68 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/7 | 30/08/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 84 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FT | Junior Alvarado | 57kg | - | 6-6-6-6 | 3 |
| 17.5L | $0.00 |
| 8/10 | 08/04/2026 | - | Allowance 100 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | Irad Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | - | 2-2-2-7 | 10 |
| 17.6L | $0.00 |
| 2/7 | 07/02/2026 | - | Allowance 99 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | - | 3-3-6-3 | 3 |
| 0.8L | $2.10 |
| 1/7 | 30/11/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Irad Ortiz Jr | 55.5kg | - | 3-3-2 | 5 |
| - | $2.35 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First up and zipped home into 3rd beaten by 3L first up last preparation at Fair Grounds. Possesses good closing speed. Drops back to a suitable class. Solid career start. Could go close.
Last Starts 223 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/7 | 28/03/2026 | - | Stakes 86 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FT | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | - | 3-5-7-7 | 4 |
| 11.8L | $5.50 |
| 3/6 | 14/02/2026 | - | Stakes 86 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | - | 5-5-5-3 | 1 |
| 3L | $6.00 |
| 3/10 | 29/11/2025 | - | Stakes 95 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Luan Machado | 55.5kg | - | 8-8-7-5 | 3 |
| 1L | $8.00 |
| 1/8 | 26/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Luan Machado | 54kg | - | 8-8-3-1 | 6 |
| 3.3L | $3.20 |
| 4/9 | 27/09/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FAST | Luan Machado | 54kg | - | 6-8-5-4 | 6 |
| 2.75L | $9.00 |