Ellis Park Race 1 - Race 1 - Mdn Special Weight
STELLENBOSCH (7) Lacked competitiveness when 7th last start around here. Have to respect the recent Bob Baffert form. Key player. TOP DRAWER (5) Good performance to run into 3rd beaten by close to 3L last time at this venue and was a debutant last start. Stepping up in distance. Genuine winning chance. SEQUOIA STARS (8) Came on strongly to finish 3rd last run at Churchill Downs and promising career start. In top racing shape this preparation. Can measure up to this company. INGLEBOROUGH (1) Didn't threaten when 8th last time at Churchill Downs but has drawn to do little work. Down in trip. Don't leave out of trifectas. Something for the Multiples: DON'S WINNER (6)

Jockey: Martin Garcia
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Was $14.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Churchill Downs but drawn well. Coming back in distance. Watch betting.
Last Starts 45 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/10 | 17/06/2026 | - | 3U | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 2414m | FIRM | Martin Garcia | 56.5kg | - | 4-4-4-4-6 | 13 |
| 13.85L | $0.00 |
| 3/8 | 02/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 90 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Martin Garcia | 56.5kg | - | 7-8-7-5 | 3 |
| 5.5L | $0.00 |
| 5/12 | 25/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Turfway Park | 1308m | FT | Luan Machado | 56.5kg | - | 11-11-8 | 5 |
| 8.8L | $6.50 |

Jockey: Danny Sheehy
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First up from a spell. Was $16.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Churchill Downs but will try to take advantage of the draw. Need a lot of luck to be close to winning this.
Last Starts 91 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | 02/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 90 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | - | 6-5-5-8 | 4 |
| 14.3L | $0.00 |
| 4/8 | 21/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 86 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Jr Marcelino Pedroza | 54.5kg | - | 7-7-6-6 | 3 |
| 4.3L | $15.00 |
| 6/11 | 14/02/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 87 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | - | 8-7-5-7 | 1 |
| 16.1L | $13.00 |
| 7/11 | 17/01/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 84 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Ben Curtis | 54.5kg | - | 6-6-8 | 3 |
| 13.9L | $20.00 |

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
First run back from a break. Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd beaten by 6L last run at Santa Anita. Should race on the speed. Small possibility.
Last Starts 71 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/6 | 22/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 90 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1609m | FT | Joel Rosario | 57kg | - | 2-3-3-2 | 6 |
| 6L | $0.00 |
| 4/6 | 20/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 93 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1609m | FM | Juan J Hernandez | 57kg | - | 3-3-3-4 | 4 |
| 8.3L | $7.50 |
| 4/5 | 15/02/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 93 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1207m | FT | Florent Geroux | 56kg | - | 5-4-4 | 3 |
| 17.8L | $5.50 |
| 5/8 | 14/06/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 92 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1408m | FT | Dyke Drayden Van | 54.5kg | - | 3-4-4 | 5 |
| 17.8L | $8.50 |

Jockey: Gerardo Corrales
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Jumped at $28.00 and improved late to finish 4th last time at Churchill Downs. Might have to make up considerable ground. Hard to see this being competitive today.
Last Starts 41 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/11 | 21/06/2026 | - | MDN Claiming 84 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FT | Martin Garcia | 53.5kg | - | 9-11-8-5 | 5 |
| 2.9L | $0.00 |
| 11/11 | 31/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | FT | Martin Garcia | 53.5kg | - | 11-11-11 | 1 |
| 21.2L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by just short of 3L last time at this track and having second career run. Brad H Cox stable are running hot lately. Capable of winning this.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 05/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | - | 7-7-5 | 8 |
| 2.9L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Ben Curtis
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Nice effort when placing 2nd beaten by nearly 7L last start at Churchill Downs. Will be trying to topple them late. Could be in the mix.
Last Starts 55 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/10 | 07/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | FT | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | - | 6-6-6 | 4 |
| 6.5L | $0.00 |
| 8/11 | 17/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Jaime A Torres | 53.5kg | - | 11-10-9 | 3 |
| 13.1L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Odds of $3.00 and not in contention when 7th last start here. Recent form of Bob Baffert is strong. Strong claims in this.
Last Starts 21 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | 11/07/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 87 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | SY | Martin Garcia | 53.5kg | - | 7-7-7-7 | 2 |
| - | $0.00 |
| 2/10 | 14/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 90 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | FT | Florent Geroux | 53.5kg | - | 9-8-5 | 1 |
| 3.5L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Alex Achard
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Was $18.00 and crept into 5th last time at Churchill Downs and facing a rise in trip. Has a great burst of speed late. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8 | 27/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 88 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | SY | Irad Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | - | 8-8-7 | 5 |
| 3.8L | $0.00 |
| 4/10 | 05/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Alex Achard | 53.5kg | - | 9-10-8 | 1 |
| 6L | $0.00 |
| 4/11 | 11/08/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | FAST | Walter A Rodriguez | 54kg | - | 11-11-5 | 12 |
| 3.6L | $6.50 |
| 3/9 | 13/07/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 78 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | GD | Walter A Rodriguez | 54kg | - | 7-7-6 | 8 |
| 4.8L | $5.50 |