Form Guide | Today, Tomorrow & Saturday

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Fair Grounds Race 7 - Race 7 - Allowance

FIRE MOON (3) wasted no time getting off the mark as favourite on debut over 1207m at Churchill Downs (Dirt) ten weeks ago and has not been produced since. Looks promising and can measure up again. SEA TO SKY (5) closed off strongly last start to get up for third, beaten 1.1 lengths, over 1710m at this track. Nice class drop this time. Sure to be there at the finish. ANONIMA (2) last appeared when she finished third over 1509m at Churchill Downs (Dirt) on June 21. Looks a strong top-three prospect. LOW KEY (6) missed the placings two runs back then didn't do any better last start when 11 lengths away in sixth over 1710m at Oaklawn Park. Likely improver with strong top-three prospects.

Race Time:9:45 PM

Saturday, February 7, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:N/A

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1710m

Dawn After Dawn (1)66x4321475

Trainer: Michael Stidham (@Tomhaggard, Co Wexford)12 mths 12: 1-1-3

Jockey: Paco Lopez

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Bay F

Sire: COMPLEXITY (USA)

Dam: KENCHO (USA)

Dam's Sire: Fusaichi Pegasus

Stats

Prize Money$93,527.00

Avg $$7,793.92

Win %8.33%

Place %41.67%

Career12: 1-1-3

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance6: 1-0-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up2: 0-0-2

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Comes off a 50 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Turfway Park on December 19 over 1609m, 5.5 len behind Wild Acclaim carrying 53.5kg at $2.30. Before that second last of 8 at Churchill Downs on November 15 over 1710m, 11 len behind Faire Plaisir with 51.5kg at $17.39. Others make more appeal.

Last Starts 50 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/11	19/12/2025	34	CLM FM 3U	$60,643.00	Turfway Park	1609m	Fast	Joseph D Ramos	53.5kg	1:38.47	2-3-5	2	1. Wild Acclaim 2. Eddie's Angel 3. Birkin Girl	5.5L	$2.30
7/8	15/11/2025	38	ALLOW FM 3U	$126,718.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Jose Ramos Gutierrez	51.5kg	1:44.85	5-7-7	1	1. Faire Plaisir 2. Miss Ellary 3. Angel Bella	11.6L	$17.39
4/6	08/10/2025	23	ALLOW FM 3U	$51,750.00	Indiana Downs	1673m	Fast	Jose Ramos Gutierrez	52kg	1:42.47	3-6-4	5	1. Miss Authentic 2. Calamity 3. Surprise	14.6L	$4.40
1/12	15/09/2025	28	MDN FM 3U	$48,930.00	Indiana Downs	1673m	Fast	Emmanuel Esquivel	54.5kg	1:42.64	5-1-1	12	1. Dawn After Dawn 2. Indict 3. Poverty With Aview	2.0L	$2.00
2/8	18/08/2025	35	MDN CLM FM 3U	$62,016.00	Ellis Park	1710m	FM	Edgar Morales	53.5kg	1:40.36	5-1-2	5	1. My Sexy Blonde 2. Dawn After Dawn 3. West Coast Dream	0.8L	$1.55
3/11	14/07/2025	30	MDN CLM FM 3U	$61,162.00	Ellis Park	1609m	FM	Edgar Morales	53.5kg	1:35.03	4-2-3	4	1. Oak Alley 2. Risky Wave 3. Dawn After Dawn	0.4L	$7.84

Anonima (2)741163443x

Trainer: Kenneth G Mcpeek (USA)12 mths 9: 2-0-2

Jockey: Colby Hernandez

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown F

Sire: SHARP AZTECA (USA)

Dam: ROYAL STARLIGHT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Point Given

Stats

Prize Money$229,741.00

Avg $$25,526.78

Win %22.22%

Place %44.44%

Career9: 2-0-2

Track1: 1-0-0

Distance6: 2-0-1

Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation third of 7 at Churchill Downs June 21 over 1509m, 4 len behind Flash Wear with 54.5kg at $2.01. On debut seventh of 10 at Churchill Downs November 2 2024 over 1207m, 12 len behind Wisconsin Gal carrying 54kg at $17.07. Can go on with the job this prep.

Last Starts 231 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/7	21/06/2025	21	ALLOW F 3	$129,082.00	Churchill Downs	1509m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	1:28.19	6-1-3	7	1. Flash Wear 2. Daisy Duke 3. Anonima	4.0L	$2.01
4/8	31/05/2025	42	ALLOW OCLM F 3	$198,438.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	J R Leparoux	53.5kg	1:43.06	3-3-4	2	1. Clicquot 2. Heavenly Sunset 3. Especially	9.5L	$9.05
4/7	19/04/2025	35	LR OPEN F 3	$319,489.00	Oaklawn Park	1609m	Fast	Nik Juarez	53kg	1:39.17	4-3-4	2	1. Princess Aliyah 2. Dare To Fly 3. Quantum Burst	2.5L	$7.30
3/6	15/03/2025	20	LR OPEN F 3	$396,197.00	Colonial Downs	1710m	Fast	Nik Juarez	55.5kg	1:42.51	4-1-3	3	1. Fondly 2. Early On 3. Anonima	1.0L	$6.40
6/13	23/02/2025	35	G3 OPEN F 3	$805,153.00	Oaklawn Park	1710m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	53.5kg	1:43.63	9-7-6	11	1. Quietside 2. Five G 3. Muhimma	10.8L	$29.40
1/7	19/01/2025	30	ALLOW OCLM F 3	$93,548.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	55.5kg	1:46.57	1-2-1	4	1. Anonima 2. California Sunset 3. Mad About Marie	2.0L	$10.50

Fire Moon (3)1x

Trainer: Cherie Devaux 12 mths 1: 1-0-0

Jockey: Axel Concepcion

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Chestnut F

Sire: JUSTIFY (USA)

Dam: GRAZIE MILLE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Stats

Prize Money$71,221.00

Avg $$71,221.00

Win %100.00%

Place %100.00%

Career1: 1-0-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 1-0-0

2nd Up0: 0-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Resuming after a break; only one run when won by a nose at Churchill Downs November 30 over 1207m defeating Texas Queen with 55.5kg at $2.07. Definite winning hope.

Last Starts 69 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/7	30/11/2025	-	MDN FM 3U	$183,206.00	Churchill Downs	1207m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	55.5kg	1:10.76	6-2-1	5	1. Fire Moon, Mimi's Grace 3. Texas Queen	0.1L	$2.07

Sierra November (4)741x8x4

Trainer: Joe Sharp 12 mths 5: 1-0-0

Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown F

Sire: GLOBAL CAMPAIGN (USA)

Dam: SWAMPOODLE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Broken Vow

Stats

Prize Money$62,610.00

Avg $$12,522.00

Win %20.00%

Place %20.00%

Career5: 1-0-0

Track4: 1-0-0

Distance3: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist2: 1-0-0

1st Up3: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Having second run back today. Last outing 4th of 7 at this track on January 10 over 1673m, 5 len behind Chasten carrying 54.5kg at $12.90. At only start last preparation second last of 9 at Keeneland on October 18 over 1710m, 32 len behind Eunomia carrying 53.5kg at $11.91. Must improve significantly.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/7	10/01/2026	84	ALLOW FM 4U	$82,212.00	Fairgrounds	1673m	Good	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	1:42.67	7-5-4	5	1. Chasten 2. Rising Inflation 3. Union Mist	5.3L	$12.90
8/9	18/10/2025	213	ALLOW FM 3U	$182,648.00	Keeneland	1710m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	53.5kg	1:44.55	9-8-8	3	1. Eunomia 2. Snowyte 3. Take Charge Omaha	32.8L	$11.91
1/8	19/03/2025	32	MDN F 3	$83,467.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	1:44.72	7-2-1	1	1. Sierra November 2. Bundle 3. Protocol	1.8L	$1.60
4/9	15/02/2025	26	MDN F 3	$88,567.00	Fairgrounds	1207m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	1:09.86	5-4-4	9	1. Velvet Vortex 2. Velvet Devil 3. Atarah	11.0L	$5.50
7/10	20/01/2025	-	MDN F 3	$93,548.00	Fairgrounds	1207m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	1:10.99	10-7-7	1	1. Trouble In Love 2. Velvet Devil 3. Daring Madison	8.7L	$4.70

Sea To Sky (5)x892x85x63

Trainer: Cherie Devaux (Kimpton, Hants)12 mths 10: 1-2-2

Jockey: Jareth Loveberry

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Bay F

Sire: WITHOUT PAROLE (GB)

Dam: BEYOND THE SEA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Sea The Stars

Stats

Prize Money$69,458.00

Avg $$6,945.80

Win %10.00%

Place %50.00%

Career10: 1-2-2

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 0-0-1

1st Up4: 0-1-0

2nd Up4: 1-0-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good5: 1-2-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy1: 0-0-1

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Not raced for 42 days. First-up 6th of 10 at Churchill Downs in the G2 Mrs. Revere Stakes on November 28 over 1710m, 3.5 len behind Lush Lips carrying 53.5kg at $45.90. Last start 3rd of 8 at this track in LR on December 27 over 1710m, 1.1 len behind Hear The Queen carrying 52.5kg at $12.40. Has the ability to take this out.

Last Starts 42 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	27/12/2025	29	LR OPEN F 3	$153,139.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	FM	D Cannon	52.5kg	1:43.31	6-5-3	1	1. Hear The Queen 2. Cheetah Lady 3. Sea To Sky	1.1L	$12.40
6/10	28/11/2025	69	G2 OPEN F 3	$458,015.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	FM	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	53.5kg	1:41.75	10-4-6	4	1. Lush Lips 2. Pretty Picture 3. Classic Q	3.5L	$45.90
5/8	20/09/2025	20	G3 OPEN F 3	$267,584.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	FM	Luis R Rivera (Jnr)	53.5kg	1:35.29	7-7-5	8	1. Ready For Candy 2. Paradise City 3. Decadent	3.8L	$20.05
8/10	31/08/2025	72	ALLOW OCLM F 3	$170,543.00	Saratoga	1811m	FM	John R Velazquez	54.5kg	1:50.37	7-8-8	7	1. Don't Jinx It 2. Cliffs 3. Obeissante	3.8L	$6.50
2/5	20/06/2025	20	HCP 3	$22,960.00	Goodwood	1609m	Good Firm	Hector Crouch	61.5kg	1:39.56	1-1-2	5	1. Organ 2. Sea To Sky 3. General Admission	0.3L	$10.00
9/11	31/05/2025	28	HCP F 3U	$45,370.00	Haydock Park	1408m	Good	Rossa Ryan	58.5kg	1:31.44	5-8-9	1	1. Oolong Poobong 2. Arabian Leopard 3. Callianassa	9.0L	$8.50

Low Key (6)3x16x12246

Trainer: Thomas M Amoss 12 mths 9: 2-2-1

Jockey: Ben Curtis

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Bay F

Sire: BOLT D'ORO (USA)

Dam: BERNARDA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Stats

Prize Money$231,525.00

Avg $$25,725.00

Win %22.22%

Place %55.56%

Career9: 2-2-1

Track1: 1-0-0

Distance3: 0-1-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 2-0-0

2nd Up3: 0-1-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Returns from a 48-day let-up. Most recently 6th of 11 at Oaklawn Park on December 21 over 1710m, 11 len behind Miss Authentic carrying 53kg at $5.40. The start before that 4th of 7 at Churchill Downs on November 14 over 1811m, 6 len behind Take Charge Omaha with 53.5kg at $4.76. Likely to play a big role.

Last Starts 48 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/11	21/12/2025	37	ALLOW FM 3U	$176,110.00	Oaklawn Park	1710m	Fast	Ramon A Vazquez	53kg	1:44.67	9-8-6	3	1. Miss Authentic 2. Floating Beauty 3. Adogate	11.8L	$5.40
4/7	14/11/2025	49	ALLOW FM 3U	$193,893.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	53.5kg	1:50.07	6-5-4	1	1. Take Charge Omaha 2. Ivory And Ebony 3. Five A Side	6.0L	$4.76
2/12	26/09/2025	25	ALLOW FM 3U	$194,190.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	53.5kg	1:44.15	12-4-2	4	1. Being Myself 2. Low Key 3. Union Mist	4.0L	$2.69
2/10	01/09/2025	52	ALLOW FM 3U	$168,196.00	Saratoga	1609m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	54kg	1:38.33	10-5-2	6	1. Cue The Duckboats 2. Low Key 3. Fully Subscribed	1.3L	$13.10
1/6	11/07/2025	118	CLM F 3	$145,260.00	Saratoga	1408m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	55.5kg	1:24.20	6-4-1	4	1. Low Key 2. Madeline's Promise 3. Always Practical	1.3L	$3.70
6/6	15/03/2025	20	LR OPEN F 3	$396,197.00	Colonial Downs	1710m	Fast	Sheldon Russell	55.5kg	1:42.51	5-6-6	2	1. Fondly 2. Early On 3. Anonima	17.8L	$31.10

Union Mist (7)155x643563

Trainer: Brendan P Walsh (@Tomhaggard, Co Wexford)12 mths 18: 1-3-4

Jockey: Declan Cannon

Weight: 54.5kgs

5 yo Bay M

Sire: UNION RAGS (USA)

Dam: MISTY AMERICAN (USA)

Dam's Sire: Quiet American

Stats

Prize Money$289,789.00

Avg $$16,099.39

Win %5.56%

Place %44.44%

Career18: 1-3-4

Track4: 0-1-2

Distance7: 1-1-3

Tr / Dist5: 0-1-2

1st Up3: 1-0-0

2nd Up3: 0-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at this track on January 10 over 1673m, 4 len behind Chasten with 54.5kg at $14.50. The race before that 6th of 10 at Turfway Park on December 10 over 2012m, 10 len behind Love Song carrying 55kg at $14.39. Sure to be about the money.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/7	10/01/2026	31	ALLOW FM 4U	$82,212.00	Fairgrounds	1673m	Good	D Cannon	54.5kg	1:42.67	3-1-3	7	1. Chasten 2. Rising Inflation 3. Union Mist	3.8L	$14.50
6/10	10/12/2025	26	ALLOW OCLM FM 3U	$156,202.00	Turfway Park	2012m	Fast	Edgar Morales	55kg	2:02.82	7-8-6	4	1. Love Song 2. Celtic Charm 3. Good Game	10.3L	$14.39
5/7	14/11/2025	49	ALLOW FM 3U	$193,893.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55kg	1:50.07	5-4-5	5	1. Take Charge Omaha 2. Ivory And Ebony 3. Five A Side	7.3L	$13.13
3/12	26/09/2025	41	ALLOW FM 3U	$194,190.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55.5kg	1:44.15	11-3-3	8	1. Being Myself 2. Low Key 3. Union Mist	4.8L	$10.09
4/5	16/08/2025	43	ALLOW FM 3U	$158,140.00	Ellis Park	1609m	Fast	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	56kg	1:37.07	4-3-4	5	1. Lemon Zest 2. Seraphia 3. Vino Tiempo	4.0L	$5.67
6/6	04/07/2025	233	ALLOW FM 3U	$155,963.00	Ellis Park	1609m	FM	Edgar Morales	56kg	1:33.69	2-2-6	6	1. Candy Bar 2. Winning Streep 3. Missy Bee	4.7L	$6.04