Form Guide | Today, Tomorrow & Saturday

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Fair Grounds Race 9 - Mineshaft S. Presented By Hagyard Stakes

HIT SHOW (6) is back from a break of 11 weeks. Closed last campaign with a narrow defeat over 1811m in the G2 Clark Handicap at Churchill Downs (Dirt). Has recorded two wins when first up from a break. Rates highly and is likely to be prominent. ACCELERIZE (2) made it back-to-back wins when successful last start over 1710m in the G3 Louisiana Stakes at this track (Dirt), getting home by 0.3 lengths. Finds a tougher race but this looks well within his grasp. MOONLIGHT (4) settled well back last start and never threatened when 5 lengths from the winner in sixth over 1710m in the G3 Louisiana Stakes at this track (Dirt). Goes up a rung or two but he is good enough to turn things around. TIME TO WIN (5) brings the right form to the table after taking out a 1609m contest at Gulfstream Park last time out by 0.3 lengths. Is rarely far away and has amassed two wins from his appearances. Has definite claims.

Race Time:10:00 PM

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:N/A

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1710m

Duke Of Duval (1)235x211521

Trainer: Steven Asmussen 12 mths 11: 3-4-2

Jockey: Luis Saez

Weight: 54.5kgs

5 yo Grey/Roan H

Sire: ARROGATE (USA)

Dam: CHAOTIC CAT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Tale Of The Cat

Stats

Prize Money$460,320.00

Avg $$41,847.27

Win %27.27%

Place %81.82%

Career11: 3-4-2

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance4: 1-1-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 0-2-1

2nd Up2: 1-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 48 day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.5 len at Oaklawn Park December 28 over 1710m defeating Number One Dude carrying 54kg at $3.40. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Churchill Downs on November 12 over 1710m, 1.75 len behind Sir Greylind with 55kg at $13.58. Won last start and is well-placed again.

Last Starts 48 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	28/12/2025	46	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$179,173.00	Oaklawn Park	1710m	Fast	Erik Asmussen	54kg	1:43.63	3-1-1	5	1. Duke Of Duval 2. Number One Dude 3. Seize The Night	0.5L	$3.40
2/8	12/11/2025	55	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$204,580.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Axel Concepcion	55kg	1:43.51	6-4-2	6	1. Sir Greylind 2. Duke Of Duval 3. Big Blue Line	1.8L	$13.58
5/6	18/09/2025	40	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$204,893.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	Keith J Asmussen	55.5kg	1:49.24	6-5-5	5	1. Bernin Hot 2. Resilience 3. Sir Greylind	4.8L	$12.06
1/8	09/08/2025	27	ALLOW 3U	$158,140.00	Ellis Park	1609m	Fast	Keith J Asmussen	56.5kg	1:36.89	5-3-1	6	1. Duke Of Duval 2. Sippin On Gin 3. Run Quiet Run Fast	0.5L	$3.56
1/7	13/07/2025	50	MDN 3U	$152,905.00	Ellis Park	1609m	Fast	Keith J Asmussen	56kg	1:35.82	3-1-1	3	1. Duke Of Duval 2. Start To Win 3. Money Man	4.5L	$2.47
2/11	24/05/2025	219	MDN 3U	$187,500.00	Churchill Downs	1609m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	56.5kg	1:34.97	7-2-2	4	1. Fact 2. Duke Of Duval 3. Steeze	2.5L	$8.03

Accelerize (2)1x311

Trainer: Todd Pletcher (USA)12 mths 4: 3-0-1

Jockey: John Velazquez

Weight: 56kgs

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown H

Sire: OMAHA BEACH (USA)

Dam: MOTION EMOTION (USA)

Dam's Sire: Take Charge Indy

Stats

Prize Money$234,047.00

Avg $$58,511.75

Win %75.00%

Place %100.00%

Career4: 3-0-1

Track1: 1-0-0

Distance1: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0

1st Up2: 1-0-1

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Form hard to fault. Last start won by a 0.3 len at this track G3 Louisiana Stakes January 17 over 1710m defeating Just A Touch with 53.5kg at $9.50. The start before that won by 2 len at Gulfstream Park December 14 over 1609m defeating Only In America with 53.5kg at $1.90. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	17/01/2026	34	G3 OPEN 4U	$261,584.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	Flavien Prat	53.5kg	1:43.43	1-2-1	4	1. Accelerize 2. Just A Touch 3. Cadet Corps	0.3L	$9.50
1/8	14/12/2025	28	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$87,289.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	53.5kg	1:37.07	3-1-1	8	1. Accelerize 2. Only In America 3. Beastly Speed	2.0L	$1.90
3/7	16/11/2025	253	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$87,023.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	Fast	Edgard J Zayas	53.5kg	1:38.49	3-1-3	6	1. Racing Driver 2. Beastly Speed 3. Accelerize	2.8L	$1.70
1/12	08/03/2025	-	MDN 3	$85,072.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1408m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	54.5kg	1:21.20	1-1-1	12	1. Accelerize 2. Moment's Notice 3. Playa Del Mar	7.8L	$4.50

Moonlight (3)311x5x1516

Trainer: Chris M Block (USA)12 mths 19: 5-3-2

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Grey/Roan H

Sire: AUDIBLE (USA)

Dam: SUNDOWN (USA)

Dam's Sire: Tapit

Stats

Prize Money$815,755.00

Avg $$42,934.47

Win %26.32%

Place %52.63%

Career19: 5-3-2

Track4: 1-0-0

Distance6: 2-1-0

Tr / Dist3: 1-0-0

1st Up6: 1-1-1

2nd Up5: 1-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good1: 0-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Last start 6th of 8 at this track in the G3 Louisiana Stakes on January 17 over 1710m, 5 len behind Accelerize carrying 55.5kg at $3.50. The race before that won by 1.5 len at Churchill Downs LR November 30 over 1609m defeating Dragoon Guard carrying 55kg at $7.58. Nicely placed to atone.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/8	17/01/2026	48	G3 OPEN 4U	$261,584.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	55.5kg	1:43.43	6-7-6	1	1. Accelerize 2. Just A Touch 3. Cadet Corps	5.1L	$3.50
1/11	30/11/2025	36	LR OPEN 3U	$381,679.00	Churchill Downs	1609m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	55kg	1:34.41	8-3-1	3	1. Moonlight 2. Dragoon Guard 3. This Is Uscar	1.5L	$7.58
5/11	25/10/2025	27	G3 OPEN 3U	$532,725.00	Keeneland	1811m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55.5kg	1:50.39	8-6-5	5	1. Hit Show 2. Rattle N Roll 3. Gosger	7.0L	$8.34
1/6	28/09/2025	85	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$215,596.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55.5kg	1:41.84	5-2-1	5	1. Moonlight 2. This Is Uscar 3. Not This Boy	1.3L	$6.68
5/8	05/07/2025	64	LR OPEN 3U	$156,575.00	Indiana Downs	1673m	Fast	O Mojica	56.5kg	1:37.98	8-5-5	5	1. Willy D's 2. This Is Uscar 3. Midnight West	6.8L	$7.40
1/8	02/05/2025	47	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$209,375.00	Churchill Downs	1609m	Heavy	Jose Ortiz	56kg	1:34.85	7-3-1	2	1. Moonlight 2. Not This Boy 3. Echo Again	1.3L	$5.71

Time To Win (4)22311

Trainer: Chad C Brown 12 mths 5: 2-2-1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Weight: 53.5kgs

4 yo Chestnut H

Sire: NOT THIS TIME (USA)

Dam: NAGAMBIE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Flatter

Stats

Prize Money$206,521.00

Avg $$41,304.20

Win %40.00%

Place %100.00%

Career5: 2-2-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-1-0

2nd Up1: 0-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Recent form sound. At the latest run won by a 0.3 len at Gulfstream Park January 17 over 1609m defeating Steeze carrying 55kg at $1.60. Before that won by 5.5 len at Aqueduct December 4 over 1609m defeating Salvation carrying 55kg at $1.53. Genuine hope on best form.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/6	17/01/2026	44	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$128,550.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55kg	1:36.58	6-2-1	2	1. Time To Win 2. Steeze 3. Statesman	0.3L	$1.60
1/6	04/12/2025	33	MDN 3U	$130,168.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Flavien Prat	55kg	1:33.50	2-1-1	3	1. Time To Win 2. Salvation 3. Roger Roger	5.5L	$1.53
3/8	01/11/2025	29	MDN 3U	$129,771.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Dylan Davis	54.5kg	1:35.51	7-3-3	4	1. Life And Times 2. Salvation 3. Time To Win	5.9L	$1.93
2/8	03/10/2025	32	MDN 3U	$129,969.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Manuel Franco	54.5kg	1:35.12	4-5-2	4	1. Dettori 2. Time To Win 3. Copious	2.8L	$1.41
2/6	01/09/2025	-	MDN 3U	$152,905.00	Saratoga	1609m	Fast	Flavien Prat	54.5kg	1:37.05	2-1-2	5	1. Only In America 2. Time To Win 3. Duration	3.3L	$2.81

Hit Show (5)131x51412x

Trainer: B H Cox (USA)12 mths 23: 11-2-1

Jockey: Florent Geroux

Weight: 55.5kgs

6 yo Grey/Roan H

Sire: CANDY RIDE (ARG)

Dam: ACTRESS (USA)

Dam's Sire: Tapit

Stats

Prize Money$5,949,181.00

Avg $$258,660.04

Win %47.83%

Place %60.87%

Career23: 11-2-1

Track1: 1-0-0

Distance4: 3-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0

1st Up3: 2-0-0

2nd Up3: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Churchill Downs in the G2 Clark Handicap November 28 over 1811m, 0.5 len behind Magnitude carrying 56.5kg at $6.21. Previously first up; second last in a small field at Churchill Downs in the G1 Stephen Foster Stakes June 28 over 1811m, 8 len behind Mindframe with 56kg at $12.27. Likely to feature.

Last Starts 78 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/8	28/11/2025	34	G2 OPEN 3U	$916,031.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	56.5kg	1:48.69	4-3-2	3	1. Magnitude 2. Hit Show 3. Chunk Of Gold	0.5L	$6.21
1/11	25/10/2025	28	G3 OPEN 3U	$532,725.00	Keeneland	1811m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	57kg	1:50.39	7-3-1	11	1. Hit Show 2. Rattle N Roll 3. Gosger	1.0L	$4.57
4/7	27/09/2025	55	G2 OPEN 3U	$764,526.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	Florent Geroux	56.5kg	1:49.25	6-5-4	2	1. Mystik Dan 2. Disarm 3. Banishing	6.5L	$4.54
1/7	03/08/2025	36	LR OPEN 3U	$310,078.00	Mountaineer Park	1710m	Fast	Florent Geroux	56kg	1:43.63	4-1-1	6	1. Hit Show 2. Not This Boy 3. Jokestar	0.1L	$2.40
5/6	28/06/2025	84	G1 OPEN 4U	$1,555,210.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	Florent Geroux	56kg	1:47.48	5-5-5	5	1. Mindframe 2. Sierra Leone 3. First Mission	8.3L	$12.27
1/11	05/04/2025	35	G1 OPEN 4U	$5,217,391.00	Meydan	2000m	Fast	Florent Geroux	57kg	2:03.50	8-7-1	7	1. Hit Show 2. Mixto 3. Forever Young	0.6L	$41.00

Stowaway (6)35x1x242x3

Trainer: D Whitworth Beckman (USA)12 mths 17: 2-3-4

Jockey: Jareth Loveberry

Weight: 53.5kgs

7 yo Bay G

Sire: GUN RUNNER (USA)

Dam: SECRET JEWEL (USA)

Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Stats

Prize Money$312,051.00

Avg $$18,355.94

Win %11.76%

Place %52.94%

Career17: 2-3-4

Track2: 0-0-1

Distance11: 1-2-3

Tr / Dist2: 0-0-1

1st Up7: 1-1-2

2nd Up4: 0-1-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic11: 1-1-3

Comments

Second-up. Comes off a 56-day let-up. First-up after two months 3rd in a small field at this track in LR on December 20 over 1710m, 0.9 len behind Not This Boy carrying 53.5kg at $25.10. Previously second-up 4th in a small field at Churchill Downs on September 18 over 1811m, 3 len behind Bernin Hot with 55.5kg at $11.03. Needs to lift.

Last Starts 56 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/6	20/12/2025	65	LR OPEN 3U	$153,139.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	Jareth Loveberry	53.5kg	1:42.69	2-3-3	3	1. Not This Boy 2. Sir Greylind 3. Stowaway	0.9L	$25.10
2/12	16/10/2025	28	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$197,869.00	Keeneland	1710m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	55.5kg	1:44.26	2-3-2	4	1. Mackman 2. Stowaway 3. Resilience	0.3L	$9.30
4/6	18/09/2025	36	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$204,893.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55.5kg	1:49.24	3-4-4	3	1. Bernin Hot 2. Resilience 3. Sir Greylind	3.1L	$11.03
2/6	13/08/2025	443	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$178,295.00	Saratoga	1609m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	56kg	1:37.33	4-2-2	6	1. Gun Party 2. Stowaway 3. Drake's Passage	5.8L	$6.40
1/6	27/05/2024	169	ALLOW 3U	$194,190.00	Churchill Downs	1609m	Fast	Martin Garcia	56kg	1:35.03	4-2-1	5	1. Stowaway 2. Shopper's Revenge 3. Glen Airy	0.3L	$8.29
5/10	10/12/2023	21	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$167,421.00	Woodbine Mohawk	1710m	Fast	Leo Salles	55.5kg	1:44.11	4-5-5	6	1. Romeo Yankee 2. Hall Of Dreams 3. Souped Up	4.8L	$9.80