Horseshoe Indianapolis Race 12 - Indiana Derby Stakes
DESERT GATE (9) Peaked on the run when 4th last time at Thistledown but up against stronger competition. Jockey Florent Geroux and trainer Bob Baffert should be taken seriously together. This field suits. LEADING CHANGE (8) Won easily by a margin of nearly 7L last start at Churchill Downs and fitter for debut run. Irad Ortiz Jr is a bonus. Should be competitive in this race at a bit of odds. CREOLE CHROME (6) Put a gap on the rest when winning by a margin of 18L last start at Evangeline Downs but racing against tougher rivals. Very competitive this preparation. Must respect in this event. BRICKLIN (5) First up and set the pace when winning by 3 1/4L first up last preparation at Oaklawn Park. Likely to be well placed early. Racing in stronger company. Minor prospects.

Jockey: Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Good effort to place 3rd beaten by 7L last time at Churchill Downs and back in an easier grade. Has run into the placings all attempts this campaign. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.
Last Starts 40 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/9 | 31/05/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 93 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FT | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | - | 7-3-4-3 | 1 |
| 7L | $0.00 |
| 1/6 | 06/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1207m | GD | Jr Marcelino Pedroza | 55.5kg | - | 5-3-1 | 5 |
| 7.5L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Mitchell Murrill
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 4L last run here and facing an increased distance. Will try to take advantage of the alley. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Hard to entertain.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/10 | 10/06/2026 | - | Stakes 93 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1106m | FT | Mitchell Murrill | 55.5kg | - | 6-4-4 | 2 |
| 4L | $0.00 |
| 7/9 | 11/04/2026 | - | Stakes 96 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FT | Mitchell Murrill | 56kg | - | 7-6-7-7 | 3 |
| 22.8L | $0.00 |
| 1/12 | 13/11/2025 | - | Stakes 73 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1674m | FT | Mitchell Murrill | 56kg | - | 6-6-5-1 | 2 |
| 5.3L | $1.67 |
| 1/10 | 25/10/2025 | - | Stakes 72 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1207m | FT | Mitchell Murrill | 54.5kg | - | 1-1-1 | 7 |
| 2.8L | $5.50 |
| 1/7 | 23/09/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 55 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1609m | FT | Mitchell Murrill | 53kg | - | 5-5-4-1 | 4 |
| 13.8L | $4.80 |
| 8/11 | 05/09/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 56 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1006m | FM | Mitchell Murrill | 53kg | - | 11-11-11 | 4 |
| 9.5L | $17.00 |

Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Picked up late to win last time at this track. Jockey Umberto Rispoli is in top form for this stable. Slim chance.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/6 | 10/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1674m | FT | Emmanuel Esquivel | 55.5kg | - | 3-3-3-1 | 6 |
| 1L | $0.00 |
| 9/11 | 25/05/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 88 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Vincent Cheminaud | 53.5kg | - | 5-4-4-8 | 7 |
| 11L | $0.00 |
| 4/6 | 02/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 92 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1609m | FT | Kazushi Kimura | 54kg | - | 5-4-4-4 | 4 |
| 3.3L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Rattled home nicely into 2nd last start at Churchill Downs but facing formidable competition. Been in the money 3 from 3 attempts this preparation. Very unlikely to cause an upset.
Last Starts 33 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/8 | 07/06/2026 | - | Stakes 96 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | - | 4-4-3-2 | 4 |
| 2L | $0.00 |
| 3/11 | 02/05/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 93 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | - | 9-9-7-6 | 9 |
| 1.3L | $0.00 |
| 1/6 | 22/03/2026 | - | Stakes 86 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1710m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 55.5kg | - | 4-3-2-1 | 5 |
| 0.8L | $2.15 |
| 2/8 | 03/01/2026 | - | Stakes 86 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 55.5kg | - | 6-6-4 | 7 |
| 6.5L | $1.24 |
| 1/7 | 13/12/2025 | - | Stakes 89 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 55.5kg | - | 7-4-3 | 4 |
| 0.5L | $3.80 |
| 2/7 | 20/11/2025 | - | Stakes 91 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 55.5kg | - | 5-4-2 | 4 |
| 1.5L | $3.40 |
| 1/12 | 19/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1207m | SY | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | - | 4-5-3 | 1 |
| 0.1L | $5.50 |
| 2/12 | 26/09/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 86 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | - | 4-5-1 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $13.00 |

Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
First up and showed a clean pair of heels when winning by 3 1/4L first up last preparation at Oaklawn Park. Has plenty of early speed. Up against tougher opponents. Keep safe.
Last Starts 61 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/4 | 10/05/2026 | - | Stakes 97 | $0.00 | Monmouth Park | 1674m | FT | Paco Lopez | 54.5kg | - | 2-2-3-3 | 3 |
| 8.9L | $0.00 |
| 4/8 | 28/03/2026 | - | Stakes 103 | $0.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1811m | FT | Jaime A Torres | 55kg | - | 2-2-2-2 | 4 |
| 7.3L | $34.00 |
| 3/6 | 15/02/2026 | - | Stakes 87 | $0.00 | Sunland Park | 1710m | FT | Cristian A Torres | 56kg | - | 3-3-3-3 | 4 |
| 5.3L | $3.10 |
| 1/9 | 03/01/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 84 | $0.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1609m | FT | Cristian A Torres | 53kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 1 |
| 3.3L | $7.00 |
| 6/7 | 26/10/2025 | - | Stakes 91 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | - | 3-4-5-6 | 5 |
| 14.1L | $34.00 |
| 1/8 | 06/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 63 | $0.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1106m | FT | Mitchell Murrill | 54.5kg | - | 6-5-4 | 2 |
| 0.1L | $6.00 |
| 6/9 | 23/08/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FAST | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | - | 2-2-5 | 7 |
| 10.1L | $3.90 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Gave them a lesson when winning by 18L last start at Evangeline Downs but challenged by a tougher grade. Has been a model of consistency this prep. Definite claims for punters.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | 06/06/2026 | - | Stakes 91 | $0.00 | Evangeline Downs | 1609m | FT | Timothy Thornton | 55.5kg | - | 3-1-1-1 | 4 |
| 18L | $0.00 |
| 6/11 | 02/05/2026 | - | Stakes 99 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FT | Irad Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | - | 4-3-4-4 | 8 |
| 11.3L | $0.00 |
| 4/7 | 04/04/2026 | - | Stakes 105 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | FT | Tyler Gaffalione | 56kg | - | 2-2-1-2 | 4 |
| 14L | $0.00 |
| 1/8 | 28/02/2026 | - | Stakes 94 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1674m | FT | Axel Concepcion | 55.5kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 4 |
| 6.8L | $2.10 |
| 1/8 | 18/01/2026 | - | Allowance 87 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Paco Lopez | 54kg | - | 4-3-1 | 6 |
| 0.1L | $1.40 |
| 3/7 | 13/12/2025 | - | Stakes 89 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Paco Lopez | 55.5kg | - | 4-3-1 | 3 |
| 1L | $2.20 |
| 1/11 | 20/11/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 74 | $0.00 | Fair Grounds | 1207m | FT | Paco Lopez | 54.5kg | - | 4-2-1 | 5 |
| 4.8L | $2.88 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Ran well when 2nd last time at Delaware Park but challenged by more formidable competitors. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/6 | 13/06/2026 | - | Stakes 97 | $0.00 | Delaware Park | 1710m | FT | John R Velazquez | 54.5kg | - | 2-1-3-2 | 3 |
| 4L | $0.00 |
| 1/11 | 02/05/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 93 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FT | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 1 |
| 0.5L | $0.00 |
| 1/8 | 03/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 91 | $0.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1710m | FT | Ramon A Vazquez | 53.5kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $0.00 |
| 4/5 | 20/02/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 102 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1609m | FT | Diego A Herrera | 55.5kg | - | 5-5-4-4 | 1 |
| 8.3L | $21.00 |
| 5/9 | 25/01/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 103 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1811m | FM | Diego A Herrera | 55.5kg | - | 7-7-7-7 | 1 |
| 5L | $8.50 |
| 6/12 | 30/11/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Del Mar | 1811m | FIRM | Antonio Fresu | 55.5kg | - | - | 4 |
| 6.85L | $8.00 |
| 5/7 | 13/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 86 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1609m | FT | Geovanni Franco | 55.5kg | - | 6-6-6-6 | 4 |
| 37.1L | $6.50 |
| 4/9 | 31/08/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Del Mar | 1207m | FIRM | Geovanni Franco | 55.5kg | - | - | 3 |
| 11.75L | $16.00 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Won by a big margin of almost 7L last start at Churchill Downs and having second career run. Added confidence jockey with Irad Ortiz Jr doing the steering. Solid chance.
Last Starts 33 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 07/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | FT | Irad Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | - | 3-3-1 | 10 |
| 6.5L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Florent Geroux
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Jumped at $3.00 and lost ground when 4th last time at Thistledown but stepping up to a higher level. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Commands respect.
Last Starts 20 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/9 | 20/06/2026 | - | Stakes 98 | $0.00 | Thistledown | 1811m | FT | Flavien Prat | 57kg | - | 2-2-2-2 | 7 |
| 6L | $0.00 |
| 1/6 | 25/05/2026 | - | Stakes 90 | $0.00 | Lone Star Park | 1710m | FT | Irad Ortiz Jr | 56kg | - | 2-1-1-1 | 5 |
| 6.3L | $0.00 |
| 1/4 | 26/03/2026 | - | 03 | $0.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1609m | FAST | Flavien Prat | 55kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 1 |
| 9.75L | $1.60 |
| 4/7 | 07/02/2026 | - | Stakes 99 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1609m | FT | Juan J Hernandez | 54.5kg | - | 5-5-4-3 | 1 |
| 4.1L | $2.50 |
| 2/6 | 04/10/2025 | - | Stakes 100 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1710m | FT | Juan J Hernandez | 55.5kg | - | 1-1-1-1 | 1 |
| 0.8L | $2.35 |
| 2/6 | 07/09/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Del Mar | 1408m | FAST | Juan J Hernandez | 56kg | - | - | 5 |
| 1L | $6.00 |
| 1/5 | 09/08/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Del Mar | 1207m | FIRM | Juan J Hernandez | 54.5kg | - | - | 5 |
| 8.75L | $1.15 |
| 1/4 | 13/06/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Santa Anita | 1006m | FIRM | Juan J Hernandez | 54kg | - | 2-2-1 | 5 |
| 2.25L | $1.50 |