Northam Race 4 - Avon Valley Toyota Hcp (C1)
JESA LUPA (2) is the one to beat despite a plain sixth at Belmont last time, when he was near the top of betting but faded late. His previous effort when fifth, beaten two and a half lengths after making solid inroads from well back, reads well enough for this, and the assessed time profile gives him a firm winning platform. ON CUE (4) is the main danger after finishing fifth at Ascot, beaten just over two lengths at generous odds, and he has the added appeal of a prior win at this track plus a rider who has already won on him. ASTONISHER (7) is not easy to trust off a last placing in BM54+ company, but the return to 1600m is more suitable and her Belmont run two back had some merit after difficulty obtaining clear running. SECRETCHINO (5) improved at York when fifth in a BM44+, beaten two lengths after beginning slowly, and she is already a track-and-trip winner, so her best version is good enough to keep her in the money.

Jockey: Jason Lyon
Weight: 59kgs
Stats
Comments
Backs up quickly after finishing second last at Belmont Park, beaten just over six lengths after settling rearward and never getting into serious contention at long odds. The start prior was a fifth in Class 2 at Geraldton, where he was tightened near the 500m but still beaten six and a half lengths. Big watch in this line up.
Last Starts 4 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10 | 21/10/2026 | 21 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1400m | Good 3 | Jason Lyon | 57.5kg | 1:26.70 | 8-9-9 | 5 |
| 6.2L | $61.00 |
| 5/7 | 30/09/2026 | 20 | CL2 3U | $24,000.00 | Geraldton | 1400m | Good 4 | Jason Lyon | 58.5kg | 1:27.44 | 4-5-5 | 6 |
| 6.5L | $8.50 |
| 8/9 | 10/09/2026 | 8 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Bunbury | 1675m | Good 4 | Austin Galati | 59.5kg | 1:43.79 | 8-8-8 | 9 |
| 3.6L | $41.00 |
| 11/11 | 02/09/2026 | 21 | CL3 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1400m | Good 4 | Austin Galati | 58kg | 1:25.42 | 6-7-11 | 4 |
| 9.7L | $81.00 |
| 10/12 | 12/08/2026 | 13 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Pinjarra Scarpside | 1400m | Soft 5 | Jarrad Noske | 60kg | 1:25.60 | 10-7-10 | 8 |
| 6.1L | $51.00 |
| 1/14 | 30/07/2026 | 7 | MDN 2U | $25,000.00 | Bunbury | 1400m | Soft 5 | Austin Galati | 58kg | 1:27.57 | 6-6-1 | 5 |
| 1.0L | $12.00 |
| 5/10 | 18/05/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 930m | Good | Chloe Azzopardi | 0:57.90 | - | 0 |
| 3.59L | $0.00 | |
| 6/9 | 04/05/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 930m | Good | Chloe Azzopardi | 0:57.85 | - | 0 |
| 4.11L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Brad Parnham
Weight: 59kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a five-week let-up after a sixth at Belmont Park, where he was near the top of betting but faded late and finished beaten just over six lengths. His previous run at Belmont Park was more encouraging, making solid inroads from well back to be beaten two and a half lengths by Grandad's Adiction. Strong chance to bounce back.
Last Starts 39 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | 16/09/2026 | 14 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1650m | Good 4 | Chris Parnham | 58.5kg | 1:40.82 | 4-3-6 | 7 |
| 6.2L | $4.20 |
| 5/11 | 02/09/2026 | 13 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1700m | Good 4 | Chris Parnham | 58.5kg | 1:45.46 | 11-10-5 | 11 |
| 2.4L | $8.50 |
| 9/11 | 20/08/2026 | 15 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Pinjarra | 1300m | Good 4 | Sharni Webster | 56.5kg | 1:18.66 | 11-11-9 | 9 |
| 5.5L | $26.00 |
| 9/12 | 05/08/2026 | 20 | CL3 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1400m | Soft 5 | Brad Parnham | 58.5kg | 1:25.07 | 3-4-9 | 7 |
| 4.7L | $31.00 |
| 12/14 | 16/07/2026 | 126 | CL3 2U | $30,000.00 | Pinjarra | 1200m | Soft 7 | Victoria Corver | 58kg | 1:13.11 | 8-8-12 | 5 |
| 7.4L | $41.00 |
| 2/8 | 29/06/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 930m | Soft | Victoria Corver | 0:58.33 | - | 0 |
| 0.34L | $0.00 | |
| 1/11 | 12/03/2026 | 14 | MDN 2U | $25,000.00 | Pinjarra Scarpside | 1400m | Good 4 | William Pike | 58kg | 1:24.18 | 1-1-1 | 10 |
| 0.6L | $3.90 |
| 6/6 | 19/01/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Good | Victoria Corver | 1:03.38 | - | 0 |
| 5.53L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Jarrad Noske
Weight: 59kgs
Stats
Comments
Finished sixth at this track last start, beaten three and a half lengths after settling back and offering no clear excuse. Two back she was ninth at Belmont Park on soft ground, having led before fading out. Third-up fitness is a positive, but she is yet to race around 1600m and her recent form does not build a strong case. Has to lift.
Last Starts 10 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/8 | 15/10/2026 | 50 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 1300m | Good 4 | Jarrad Noske | 58kg | 1:17.93 | 6-6-6 | 5 |
| 3.6L | $13.00 |
| 3/9 | 21/09/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 950m | Good | Jarrad Noske | 0:59.41 | - | 0 |
| 2.1L | $0.00 | |
| 9/11 | 26/08/2026 | 287 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1400m | Soft 5 | Brad Parnham | 58kg | 1:25.26 | 2-1-9 | 8 |
| 7.9L | $19.00 |
| 1/5 | 10/08/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 950m | Soft | Brad Parnham | 0:59.39 | - | 0 |
| 1.22L | $0.00 | |
| 10/10 | 12/11/2025 | 172 | CL3 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1400m | Good 4 | William Pike | 56kg | 1:24.95 | 1-1-10 | 7 |
| 4.5L | $2.80 |
| 11/12 | 24/05/2025 | 16 | BM78 F 3 | $150,000.00 | Sandown-Hillside | 1400m | Soft 5 | John Allen | 57kg | 1:24.29 | 3-3-11 | 3 |
| 15.7L | $11.00 |
| 1/9 | 08/05/2025 | 70 | MDN 3U | $40,000.00 | Pakenham | 1400m | Good 4 | John Allen | 57.5kg | 1:25.88 | 1-1-1 | 5 |
| 1.8L | $7.00 |
| 5/9 | 27/02/2025 | 21 | MDN FM 3U | $40,000.00 | Pakenham | 1400m | Good 4 | Beau Mertens | 57.5kg | 1:25.17 | 4-5-5 | 3 |
| 7.0L | $4.40 |

Jockey: Brayden Gaerth
Weight: 58.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Improved sharply at Ascot last start, finishing fifth and beaten just over two lengths after sitting behind the leaders at generous odds. His previous run at this venue was plain, but the overall set-up is stronger now: he has won at this track, handles wet ground and the winning rider is back aboard. Winning rider back and barrier one are strong positives.
Last Starts 11 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | 14/10/2026 | 21 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Ascot | 1600m | Good 4 | Shaun O'donnell | 57kg | 1:38.92 | 2-2-5 | 9 |
| 2.1L | $18.00 |
| 10/12 | 23/09/2026 | 10 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 1400m | Good 4 | Brayden Gaerth | 58kg | 1:23.82 | 8-11-10 | 7 |
| 9.1L | $71.00 |
| 6/8 | 13/09/2026 | 11 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 1400m | Good 4 | Brayden Gaerth | 59kg | 1:24.34 | 4-4-6 | 2 |
| 3.9L | $12.00 |
| 5/5 | 02/09/2026 | 34 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Soft 5 | Brayden Gaerth | 60kg | 0:58.91 | 5-5-5 | 3 |
| 5.9L | $16.00 |
| 12/16 | 30/07/2026 | 21 | CL1 2U | $30,000.00 | Bunbury | 1400m | Soft 5 | Brayden Gaerth | 60kg | 1:26.80 | 4-5-12 | 10 |
| 7.3L | $16.00 |
| 1/10 | 09/07/2026 | 15 | MDN 2U | $25,000.00 | Northam | 1300m | Soft 5 | Brayden Gaerth | 58kg | 1:19.38 | 3-2-1 | 6 |
| 0.1L | $12.00 |
| 1/10 | 18/05/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 930m | Good | Jessica Valas | 0:57.90 | - | 0 |
| 0.7L | $0.00 | |
| 1/11 | 04/05/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 930m | Good | Jessica Valas | 0:56.55 | - | 0 |
| 0.23L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Holly Nottle
Weight: 58.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Hit the line well at York last start when fifth in a BM44+, beaten two lengths after beginning slowly and coming from well back. That was a much better run than her second last at this track the start prior, when she was unwanted in the market and offered little. More reliable as a place chance than a clear winning hope.
Last Starts 17 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/11 | 08/10/2026 | 15 | BM44+ 3U | $17,000.00 | York | 1500m | Good 4 | Holly Nottle | 59kg | 1:32.56 | 6-6-5 | 2 |
| 2.0L | $11.00 |
| 11/12 | 23/09/2026 | 13 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 1400m | Good 4 | Steven Parnham | 58kg | 1:23.82 | 5-6-11 | 2 |
| 9.1L | $61.00 |
| 7/9 | 10/09/2026 | 14 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Bunbury | 1675m | Good 4 | Holly Nottle | 58.5kg | 1:43.79 | 2-1-7 | 7 |
| 3.5L | $20.00 |
| 1/9 | 27/08/2026 | 14 | MDN 3U | $25,000.00 | Northam | 1600m | Heavy 9 | Holly Nottle | 56kg | 1:42.87 | 2-3-1 | 6 |
| 1.0L | $4.60 |
| 3/11 | 13/08/2026 | 15 | MDN 3U | $25,000.00 | Bunbury | 1400m | Soft 5 | Holly Nottle | 56kg | 1:27.04 | 5-2-3 | 9 |
| 1.3L | $41.00 |
| 8/9 | 29/07/2026 | 14 | MDN 2U | $25,000.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Good 4 | Lisa Staples | 56kg | 0:57.70 | 9-9-8 | 5 |
| 5.2L | $101.00 |
| 1/7 | 06/07/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Soft | Lisa Staples | 1:03.50 | - | 0 |
| 1.36L | $0.00 | |
| 6/9 | 22/12/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Good | Steven Parnham | 1:01.41 | - | 0 |
| 8.02L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Shaun O'donnell
Weight: 58kgs
Stats
Comments
Broke through in a Mdn at York last start, coming from a long way back to beat Sandy Cheeks by a head after beginning slowly and being held up near the 150m. That showed resolve, but it followed a heavy defeat in a Mdn at this venue, where he was unwanted and beaten over 16 lengths. This asks more.
Last Starts 17 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11 | 08/10/2026 | 15 | MDN 3U | $17,000.00 | York | 1500m | Good 4 | Shaun O'donnell | 57kg | 1:34.38 | 11-8-1 | 9 |
| 0.2L | $6.00 |
| 12/13 | 23/09/2026 | 14 | MDN 3U | $25,000.00 | Northam | 1600m | Good 4 | Brandon Louis | 58kg | 1:36.95 | 9-10-12 | 11 |
| 15.8L | $81.00 |
| 6/6 | 09/09/2026 | 41 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1200m | Good 4 | Brandon Louis | 57kg | 1:11.17 | 6-6-6 | 3 |
| 4.5L | $151.00 |
| 11/13 | 30/07/2026 | 155 | MDN 2U | $25,000.00 | Bunbury | 1200m | Soft 5 | Brandon Louis | 58kg | 1:12.81 | 11-10-11 | 10 |
| 7.9L | $101.00 |
| 2/5 | 20/07/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Soft | Brandon Louis | 1:02.40 | - | 0 |
| 5.02L | $0.00 | |
| 9/10 | 25/02/2026 | 14 | MDN 2U | $25,000.00 | Belmont | 1300m | Good 4 | Brandon Louis | 58kg | 1:18.94 | 10-9-9 | 10 |
| 6.1L | $61.00 |
| 6/10 | 11/02/2026 | - | CL1 2U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1200m | Good 3 | Brandon Louis | 59kg | 1:11.74 | 6-6-6 | 3 |
| 3.8L | $151.00 |
| 6/9 | 05/01/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Good | Brandon Louis | 1:00.96 | - | 0 |
| 3.97L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull
Weight: 57.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a six-week let-up after finishing last in a BM54+ at this venue over 2200m, beaten over 12 lengths after racing keenly and covering ground. Her Belmont Park sixth two back was better, beaten just over four lengths after difficulty obtaining clear running. Has to be included in the main chances.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | 13/09/2026 | 11 | BM54+ 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 2200m | Good 4 | Holly Nottle | 57kg | 2:21.62 | 9-10-11 | 8 |
| 12.0L | $19.00 |
| 6/11 | 02/09/2026 | 13 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1700m | Good 4 | Austin Galati | 57.5kg | 1:45.46 | 4-4-6 | 2 |
| 4.2L | $23.00 |
| 10/11 | 20/08/2026 | 137 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Pinjarra | 1300m | Good 4 | Austin Galati | 57.5kg | 1:18.66 | 8-8-10 | 6 |
| 6.0L | $31.00 |
| 11/14 | 05/04/2026 | 100 | BM58+ 2U | $30,000.00 | Albany | 1600m | Soft 5 | Holly Nottle | 54kg | 1:42.15 | 10-8-11 | 10 |
| 8.8L | $21.00 |
| 7/7 | 26/03/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Albany | 1000m | Soft | Natika Riordan | 1:01.76 | - | 0 |
| 7.51L | $0.00 | |
| 4/10 | 26/12/2025 | 14 | CL2 3U | $24,000.00 | Albany | 1500m | Good 4 | Chanel Cooper | 57kg | 1:31.73 | 4-2-4 | 9 |
| 5.1L | $9.50 |
| 2/12 | 12/12/2025 | 15 | BM58+ 3U | $24,000.00 | Albany | 1500m | Good 4 | Holly Nottle | 52.5kg | 1:31.95 | 4-3-2 | 6 |
| 0.4L | $13.00 |
| 5/9 | 20/10/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 930m | Soft | Austin Galati | 0:58.34 | - | 0 |
| 4.15L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Jade Mcnaught
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a five-week let-up after a ninth at this track, beaten nine lengths at long odds with no obvious excuse. The run prior at Bunbury was also plain, finishing last after being in contention before dropping out. Her record at this venue gives some encouragement, but the current form line and long-standing jockey combination record temper confidence. Rough place hope.
Last Starts 32 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/12 | 23/09/2026 | 13 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 1400m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 54kg | 1:23.82 | 12-12-9 | 10 |
| 9.0L | $101.00 |
| 9/9 | 10/09/2026 | 7 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Bunbury | 1675m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 54.5kg | 1:43.79 | 3-6-9 | 1 |
| 5.6L | $14.00 |
| 5/11 | 03/09/2026 | 14 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 1300m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 54kg | 1:18.17 | 7-7-5 | 5 |
| 4.1L | $26.00 |
| 7/11 | 20/08/2026 | 12 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Pinjarra | 1300m | Good 4 | Madi Derrick | 54kg | 1:18.66 | 9-9-7 | 7 |
| 4.1L | $51.00 |
| 11/11 | 08/08/2026 | 27 | NMW1Y 4U | $40,000.00 | Belmont | 1400m | Soft 7 | Jade Mcnaught | 54kg | 1:27.14 | 6-9-11 | 1 |
| 9.6L | $151.00 |
| 5/11 | 12/07/2026 | 7 | CL2 2U | $24,000.00 | Kalgoorlie | 1300m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 55kg | 1:18.45 | 7-7-5 | 2 |
| 2.0L | $7.50 |
| 6/8 | 12/05/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Ascot | 1000m | Good | Holly Nottle | 1:01.01 | - | 0 |
| 1.74L | $0.00 | |
| 5/8 | 16/09/2024 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Belmont | 1000m | Good | Jordan Turner | 1:00.48 | - | 0 |
| 5.08L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Chanel Cooper
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes back from a BM54+ at Bunbury, where she finished seventh and beaten five and a half lengths after being handy but unable to finish off. She was also safely held in BM50+ grade at this venue two back and was unwanted in betting both times. Place claims if she improves.
Last Starts 18 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/10 | 07/10/2026 | 14 | BM54+ 3U | $30,000.00 | Bunbury | 2200m | Good 4 | Madi Derrick | 55kg | 2:21.06 | 6-9-7 | 2 |
| 5.5L | $81.00 |
| 8/12 | 23/09/2026 | 10 | BM50+ 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 2200m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 54kg | 2:21.37 | 4-5-8 | 2 |
| 8.2L | $91.00 |
| 7/11 | 13/09/2026 | 11 | BM54+ 3U | $30,000.00 | Northam | 2200m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 55kg | 2:21.62 | 5-5-7 | 1 |
| 8.1L | $26.00 |
| 8/11 | 02/09/2026 | 14 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1700m | Good 4 | Jade Mcnaught | 54kg | 1:45.46 | 9-9-8 | 9 |
| 4.8L | $81.00 |
| 6/11 | 19/08/2026 | 7 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Belmont | 1650m | Soft 5 | Jade Mcnaught | 55kg | 1:41.16 | 8-8-6 | 7 |
| 8.4L | $81.00 |
| 11/12 | 12/08/2026 | 13 | CL1 3U | $30,000.00 | Pinjarra Scarpside | 1400m | Soft 5 | Jade Mcnaught | 56kg | 1:25.60 | 9-11-11 | 9 |
| 6.6L | $71.00 |
| 2/6 | 29/12/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 950m | Good | Natasha Faithfull | 0:58.22 | - | 0 |
| 0.83L | $0.00 | |
| 6/7 | 14/07/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Lark Hill | 950m | Soft | Natasha Faithfull | 0:59.12 | - | 0 |
| 3.57L | $0.00 |