Saratoga Race 5 - Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming
INSTABILITY (10) Back from a spell. Narrowly denied victory last time at Aqueduct but matched against tougher rivals. Flavien Prat is a key engagement. Can measure up to this company. CHICKEN DANCE (7) Not up to scratch when 6th last start at Delaware Park and facing a stronger group of contenders. Tracking very well this campaign. Among better hopes. C MCGRIFF (12) Was a comprehensive winner by 5 1/2L last run at Churchill Downs but racing in stronger company. Very competitive this campaign and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Key player. QUIET POWER (3) Stormed home to win last start at Aqueduct. Been in the money each start this campaign. Genuine winning chance.

Jockey: Manuel Franco
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after a 32 week break. Started at $14.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Gulfstream Park and drawn the rails. Hard to see it being good enough.
Last Starts 230 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | 07/12/2025 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 87 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 55.5kg | - | 7-7-7-7 | 3 |
| 1.5L | $14.00 |
| 7/8 | 07/11/2025 | - | Stakes 90 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1710m | FM | Javier Castellano | 54.5kg | - | 5-5-6-7 | 2 |
| 6.1L | $10.00 |
| 1/9 | 02/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1710m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54kg | - | 3-3-4-2 | 4 |
| 1.5L | $5.50 |
| 6/11 | 31/08/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Kendrick Carmouche | 54kg | - | 4-5-4-6 | 4 |
| 2.9L | $10.00 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Finished with purpose when winning last start around here and drawn nicely. Looking sharp on the track since resuming from a spell and good career start. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Last Starts 50 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 05/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 92 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | - | 6-6-6-6 | 5 |
| 0.5L | $0.00 |
| 2/9 | 26/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 92 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Edwin Gonzalez | 55.5kg | - | 5-5-1-2 | 6 |
| 4L | $0.00 |
| 6/8 | 28/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 87 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FT | Junior Alvarado | 55.5kg | - | 3-2-6-5 | 2 |
| 33.8L | $3.40 |

Jockey: Jose Lezcano
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Aqueduct. Has not missed the money this campaign in 3 attempts. Great chance.
Last Starts 44 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | 11/06/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 89 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1609m | FM | Jose Lezcano | 54.5kg | - | 3-4-4-3 | 1 |
| 1.3L | $0.00 |
| 3/7 | 17/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 88 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1609m | FM | Kendrick Carmouche | 54.5kg | - | 4-3-3-3 | 5 |
| 3.8L | $0.00 |
| 3/12 | 01/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 96 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | David Egan | 55.5kg | - | 7-7-7-5 | 8 |
| 0.8L | $4.00 |
| 2/11 | 24/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 84 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1710m | FM | Kendrick Carmouche | 54kg | - | 5-5-4-3 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $2.25 |
| 2/12 | 13/09/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1710m | FAST | Kendrick Carmouche | 54kg | - | 7-7-7-5 | 9 |
| 0.05L | $11.00 |
| 5/6 | 23/08/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Kendrick Carmouche | 54kg | - | 5-5-4-5 | 3 |
| 5.3L | $6.50 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Started at $18.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start here and facing formidable competition. Hard to see this being good enough.
Last Starts 22 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/11 | 03/07/2026 | - | Stakes 96 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Paco Lopez | 55.5kg | - | 2-2-2-2 | 3 |
| 4.6L | $0.00 |
| 1/10 | 06/06/2026 | - | Allowance 96 | $0.00 | Delaware Park | 1509m | FM | Angel R Rodriguez | 53.5kg | - | 5-4-2 | 1 |
| 0.8L | $0.00 |
| 1/12 | 19/04/2026 | - | MDN Claiming 58 | $0.00 | Laurel Park | 1609m | FM | Mychel J Sanchez | 53kg | - | 6-6-4-1 | 6 |
| 4L | $0.00 |
| 6/7 | 29/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 88 | $0.00 | Laurel Park | 1710m | FT | J G Torrealba | 56kg | - | 3-4-4-6 | 6 |
| 17.8L | $31.00 |
| 7/7 | 27/02/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Laurel Park | 1106m | FT | Yedsit Hazlewood | 51.700000047683716kg | - | 6-6-7 | 4 |
| 20.3L | $6.00 |

Jockey: Dylan Davis
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Made some ground late when 3rd last run at Monmouth Park and having second race start. Racing against tougher rivals. Big improvement required to threaten these.
Last Starts 56 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 30/05/2026 | - | Stakes 97 | $0.00 | Monmouth Park | 1609m | FM | Manuel Franco | 53.5kg | - | 5-6-6-3 | 3 |
| 2.8L | $0.00 |

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Just missed last start at Aqueduct but matched against a stronger field. Should jump out and bowl along. John R Velazquez and Todd A Pletcher are a combination worth noting. Will need a big effort to win this.
Last Starts 43 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/7 | 12/06/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 92 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1609m | FM | John R Velazquez | 56kg | - | 2-2-2-2 | 2 |
| 0.1L | $0.00 |
| 4/6 | 09/05/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 92 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1710m | FM | Kendrick Carmouche | 56kg | - | 2-2-2-3 | 3 |
| 4L | $0.00 |
| 1/9 | 11/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 84 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FT | Rajiv Maragh | 55.5kg | - | 1-1-2-2 | 1 |
| 0.1L | $0.00 |
| 5/9 | 08/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 90 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Edgard J Zayas | 55.5kg | - | 6-6-6-6 | 3 |
| 7L | $17.00 |

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Odds of $36.00 and came in 7th last run here and up against a higher level of opposition. Expected to settle towards the tail. Others are better.
Last Starts 22 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | 03/07/2026 | - | Stakes 96 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | - | 9-10-7-4 | 5 |
| 4.1L | $0.00 |
| 1/7 | 09/04/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1674m | FT | Samy Camacho | 54.5kg | - | 7-5-4-1 | 7 |
| 6.3L | $0.00 |

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
First up after a break. Close to a win last time at Aqueduct but facing a stronger class. Great to see jockey Flavien Prat taking the ride. Genuine claims.
Last Starts 91 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | 25/04/2026 | - | Stakes 92 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 54.5kg | - | 3-2-2-3 | 1 |
| 0.3L | $0.00 |
| 1/11 | 06/03/2026 | - | MDN Special Weight 77 | $0.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | GD | Samuel Marin | 54kg | - | 5-3-2-1 | 3 |
| 4.5L | $2.35 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd last time at Delaware Park but testing ability against stronger contenders. In good shape this preparation. Watch for a sign in the market.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/7 | 27/06/2026 | - | Stakes 93 | $0.00 | Delaware Park | 1811m | SY | Christopher Elliott | 53.5kg | - | 2-4-4-2 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $0.00 |
| 3/7 | 06/06/2026 | - | Allowance 98 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Emmanuel Esquivel | 53.5kg | - | 5-5-5-5 | 4 |
| 2.3L | $0.00 |
| 4/7 | 16/05/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 94 | $0.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SY | Emmanuel Esquivel | 53.5kg | - | 4-4-4-4 | 5 |
| 5.3L | $0.00 |
| 3/12 | 10/04/2026 | - | Allowance 91 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | Jose L Ortiz | 53.5kg | - | 12-10-4-3 | 11 |
| 1.8L | $0.00 |
| 3/9 | 07/02/2026 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming 87 | $0.00 | Turfway Park | 1609m | FT | Julien R Leparoux | 55.5kg | - | 4-4-4-4 | 7 |
| 8.8L | $5.00 |
| 10/11 | 06/12/2025 | - | 02 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1811m | FAST | Christopher Elliott | 53.5kg | - | 10-10-10-10 | 5 |
| 22.85L | $41.00 |
| 1/12 | 25/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 85 | $0.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | FM | Irad Ortiz Jr | 54kg | - | 3-4-4-3 | 1 |
| 1L | $3.30 |
| 2/10 | 02/10/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 76 | $0.00 | Aqueduct | 1710m | FM | Javier Castellano | 54kg | - | 4-4-4-3 | 7 |
| 0.1L | $3.70 |
| 7/11 | 31/08/2025 | - | MDN Special Weight 80 | $0.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Javier Castellano | 54kg | - | 8-8-9-8 | 2 |
| 4.1L | $13.00 |